Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.947950 1.068675 1.200486 1.355346 1.532628 1.729621 1.965619
2025-01-05 0.747502 0.906794 1.095339 1.336044 1.636700 2.001820 2.481807
2025-01-12 0.640069 0.814628 1.032530 1.326597 1.716240 2.219194 2.924645
2025-01-19 0.544896 0.720094 0.948156 1.269843 1.716800 2.323045 3.219892
2025-01-26 0.498822 0.681654 0.928739 1.291421 1.817543 2.564330 3.724948
2025-02-02 0.462894 0.651659 0.915427 1.316707 1.921996 2.817516 4.273994
2025-02-09 0.428715 0.619765 0.894825 1.326997 2.002375 3.040157 4.800195
2025-02-16 0.398426 0.590065 0.873608 1.332511 2.073541 3.253074 5.333727
2025-02-23 0.376841 0.571028 0.865900 1.356859 2.175028 3.522575 5.992536
2025-03-02 0.344840 0.532918 0.824970 1.323315 2.176880 3.625377 6.371690
2025-03-09 0.329148 0.519055 0.820818 1.348983 2.279809 3.909601 7.111728
2025-03-16 0.306878 0.492621 0.793825 1.333015 2.307729 4.062833 7.623714
2025-03-23 0.291484 0.476736 0.783640 1.346281 2.391241 4.329994 8.401752
2025-03-30 0.271963 0.452416 0.757243 1.328370 2.415724 4.489615 8.987212
2025-04-06 0.255781 0.432513 0.736722 1.318864 2.454309 4.679326 9.659777
2025-04-13 0.233888 0.400978 0.693194 1.262486 2.395945 4.669032 9.897357
2025-04-20 0.225434 0.392750 0.690845 1.283925 2.493730 4.987293 10.911589
2025-04-27 0.218109 0.385980 0.690529 1.309048 2.601193 5.337537 12.051504
2025-05-04 0.209338 0.375876 0.683138 1.319271 2.678261 5.630478 13.098729
2025-05-11 0.200619 0.365239 0.673883 1.324750 2.745444 5.908690 14.151867
2025-05-18 0.194725 0.359560 0.673738 1.348941 2.855843 6.297882 15.549697
2025-05-25 0.182739 0.341274 0.647466 1.315613 2.833774 6.374202 16.134043
2025-06-01 0.177957 0.336831 0.648522 1.341116 2.948890 6.792660 17.716326